Table A2: Potential Lakeshore GO Rail Ridership Growth
|
|
|
Peak Riders per year thousands |
Non-Peak Riders per year thousands |
Total Riders |
Total Non-peak trip time (minutes) |
Non-peak riders Growth |
New daily non-peak riders thousands |
Non-peak Riders per day thousands |
Weekday Riders (thousands |
Revenue Increment per year at $6 fare (millions) |
Revenue Increment NPV |
Average load per Non-peak train |
Non-peak trains per weekday |
|
2010 |
Hourly |
15,000 |
11,000 |
26,000 |
60 |
|
|
30.1 |
90.1 |
|
|
75.3 |
40 |
|
2013 |
Half Hourly |
|
13,200 |
28,200 |
50 |
20% |
6.0 |
36.2 |
96.2 |
$ 13.2 |
|
60.3 |
60 |
|
2023 |
Underlying Growth |
30,000 |
26,400 |
56,400 |
50 |
100% |
36.2 |
72.3 |
192.3 |
$ 79.2 |
|
120.5 |
60 |
|
2023 |
Electric Locos |
30,000 |
28,085 |
58,085 |
47 |
6.4% |
4.6 |
76.9 |
196.9 |
$ 10.1 |
$ 233 |
128.2 |
60 |
|
2033 |
Electric Locos |
45,000 |
|
|
|
|
6.9 |
115.4 |
295.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
2023 |
EMUs |
|
30,698 |
|
43 |
9% |
7.2 |
84.1 |
|
$ 15.7 |
$ 361 |
140.2 |
60 |
|
2023 |
Quarter Hourly EMUs |
|
47,143 |
|
28 |
54% |
45.1 |
129.2 |
|
$ 98.7 |
$ 2,269 |
107.6 |
120 |
|
|
Cumulative 2023 |
|
47,143 |
|
|
|
63.8 |
129.2 |
249.2 |
$ 124 |
$ 2,863 |
|
|
|
2033 |
Quarter Hourly EMUs |
45,000 |
70,413 |
|
|
100% |
63.8 |
192.9 |
372.9 |
|
|
160.8 |
120 |
|
|
Incremental riders 2013 to 2033 |
|
|
|
|
162.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
||