Appendix D: Population and Employment Forecasts 2001–2041

Upper/Single Tier/Lower Municipality

Population

2001

2011

2021

2031

2041

Durham Region

530000 1

660000 1

810000 1

960000 1

119000016

City of Pickering

-

-

177915 6

225670 6

-

City of Ajax

-

-

132325 6

137670 6

-

City of Whitby

-

-

156915 6

192860 6

-

City of Oshawa

-

-

174695 6

197000 6

-

Town of Clarington

-

-

108100 6

140340 6

-

Township of Uxbridge

-

-

23740 6

26965 6

-

Township of Scugog

-

-

23415 6

25390 6

-

Township of Brock

-

-

12810 6

14015 6

-

York Region

760000 1

1060000 1

1300000 1

1500000 1

179000016

City of Vaughan

-

-

360400 5

416600 5

-

Town of Richmond Hill

-

-

231400 5

242200 5

-

Town of Aurora

-

-

68100 5

70200 5

-

City of Markham

-

-

370300 5

421600 5

-

City of Newmarket

-

-

91900 5

97100 5

-

Township of King

-

-

29900 5

34900 5

-

Town of Whitchurch-Stouffville

-

-

55800 5

60600 5

-

Town of East Gwillimbury

-

-

48100 5

86500 5

-

Township of Georgina

-

-

57900 5

70300 5

-

City of Toronto

2590000 1

2760000 1

2930000 1

3080000 1

340000016

Peel Region

1030000 1

1320000 1

1490000 1

1640000 1

197000016

Town of Caledon

-

-

87000 4

108000 4

-

City of Brampton

-

-

635000 4

727000 4

-

City of Mississauga

-

-

768000 4

805000 4

-

Halton Region

390000 1

520000 1

650000 1

780000 1

100000016

Town of Halton Hills

-

-

-

94000 3

-

Town of Milton

-

-

-

238000 3

-

City of Oakville

-

-

-

255000 3

-

City of Burlington

-

-

-

193000 3

-

City of Hamilton

510000 1

540000 1

590000 1

660000 1

78000016

INNER RING TOTAL

5810000 1

6860000 1

7770000 1

8620000 1

1013000016

Northumberland County

80000 1

87000 1

93000 1

96000 1

11000016

Town of Brighton

-

-

-

11890 16

-

Town of Cobourg

-

-

-

23430 16

-

Municipality of Port Hope

-

-

-

20520 16

-

Town of Trent Hills

-

-

-

13890 16

-

Township of Alnwick/Haldimand

-

-

-

7200 16

-

Township of Cramahe

-

-

-

6990 16

-

Township of Hamilton

-

-

-

12080 16

-

Peterborough County

56000 1

58000 1

-

61000 14

7600016

Township of Asphodel-Norwood

-

-

-

5185 14

-

Township of Cavan-Monaghan

-

-

-

10126 14

-

Township of Douro-Dummer

-

-

-

6893 14

-

Township of Galway-Cavendish and Harvey

-

-

-

5063 14

Township of Havelock-Belmont-Methuen

-

-

-

5612 14

-

Township of North Kawartha

-

-

-

1891 14

-

Township of Otonabee-South Monaghan

-

-

-

6832 14

-

Township of Smith-Ennismore-Lakefield

-

-

-

19337 14

-

City of Peterborough

74000 1

79000 1

-

88000 15

11500016

Kawartha Lakes

72000 1

80000 1

91000 1

100000 1

10700016

Simcoe County

254000 1

294000 1

-

416000 2

49700016

Town of Bradford West Gwillimbury

-

-

-

50500 2

-

Town of Collingwood

-

-

-

33400 2

-

Town of Innisfil

-

-

-

56000 2

-

Town of Midland

-

-

-

22500 2

-

Town of New Tecumseth

-

-

-

56000 2

-

Town of Penetanguishene

-

-

-

11000 2

-

Town of Wasaga Beach

-

-

-

27500 2

-

Township of Adjala-Tosorontio

-

-

-

13000 2

-

Township of Clearview

-

-

-

19700 2

-

Township of Essa

-

-

-

21500 2

-

Township of Oro-Medonte

-

-

-

27000 2

-

Township of Severn

-

-

-

17000 2

-

Township of Springwater

-

-

-

24000 2

-

Township of Ramara

-

-

-

13000 2

-

Township of Tay

-

-

-

11400 2

-

Township of Tiny

-

-

-

12500 2

-

City of Barrie

108000 1

157000 1

-

210000 2

25300016

City of Orillia

30000 1

33000 1

-

41000 2

4600016

Dufferin County

53000 1

62000 1

71000 1

80000 1

8500016

Town of Mono

-

-

-

9770 13

-

Town of Orangeville

-

-

-

36490 13

-

Town of Shelburne

-

-

-

8400 13

-

Township of Amaranth

-

-

-

4680 13

-

Township of East Garafraxa

-

-

-

3150 13

-

Township of East Luther-Grand Valley

-

-

-

5740 13

-

Township of Melancthon

-

-

-

3410 13

-

Township of Mulmur

-

-

-

4290 13

-

Unallocated, included in total

-

-

4000 13

-

Wellington County

85000 1

91000 1

-

122000 6

14000016

Township of Centre Wellington

-

-

35800 11

41350 11

-

Township of Erin

-

-

13510 11

15530 11

-

Town of Guelph/Eramosa

-

-

14580 11

15290 11

-

Township of Mapleton

-

-

11550 11

12670 11

-

Township of Minto

-

-

10450 11

11640 11

-

Town of Puslinch

-

-

8720 11

9920 11

-

Township of Wellington North

-

-

13680 11

15600 11

-

City of Guelph

110000 1

132000 1

-

175000 12

19100016

Unallocated, included in total

-

-

-

24000 1

-

Waterloo Region

456000 1

526000 1

623000 1

729000 1

83500016

City of Waterloo

-

-

-

137000 10

-

City of Kitchener

-

-

-

313000 10

-

City of Cambridge

-

-

-

173000 10

-

Township of Woolwich

-

-

-

32500 10

-

Township of Wellesley

-

-

-

12000 10

-

Township of Wilmot

-

-

-

28500 10

-

Township of North Dumfries

-

-

-

16000 10

-

Brant County

35000 1

39000 1

-

47000 9

5700016

City of Brantford

94000 1

102000 1

-

126000 8

16300016

Haldimand County

46000 1

49000 1

53000 1

56000 1

6400016

Niagara Region

427000 1

442000 1

474000 1

511000 1

61000016

City of Niagara Falls

-

-

99100 7

106800 7

-

City of Port Colborne

-

-

22600 7

24100 7

-

City of St. Catharines

-

-

142500 7

143800 7

-

City of Thorold

-

-

24900 7

28400 7

-

City of Welland

-

-

59500 7

66500 7

-

Town of Fort Erie

-

-

37100 7

40700 7

-

Town of Grimsby

-

-

31000 7

32800 7

-

Town of Lincoln

-

-

27800 7

30300 7

-

Town of Niagara-on-the-Lake

-

-

19900 7

22700 7

-

Town of Pelham

-

-

21500 7

24400 7

-

Township of Wainfleet

-

-

7700 7

8200 7

-

Township of West Lincoln

-

-

16500 7

16700 7

-

OUTER RING TOTAL

19800001

22300001

25600001

28800001

335000016

GGH TOTAL

77900001

90900001

103300001

115000001

1348000016

Upper/Single Tier/Lower Municipality

Employment

2001

2011

2021

2031

2041

Durham Region

190000 1

260000 1

310000 1

350000 1

43000016

City of Pickering

-

67910 6

76720 6

City of Ajax

-

-

46115 6

49290 6

City of Whitby

-

-

56745 6

71310 6

City of Oshawa

-

-

84600 6

90790 6

Town of Clarington

-

-

32150 6

38420 6

Township of Uxbridge

-

-

7995 6

8970 6

Township of Scugog

-

-

8955 6

9480 6

Township of Brock

-

-

4555 6

5005 6

York Region

390000 1

590000 1

700000 1

780000 1

90000016

City of Vaughan

-

-

248900 5

266100 5

-

Town of Richmond Hill

-

-

94300 5

99400 5

-

Town of Aurora

-

-

32400 5

34200 5

-

City of Markham

-

-

221500 5

240400 5

-

City of Newmarket

-

-

48700 5

49400 5

-

Township of King

-

11000 5

11900 5

-

Town of Whitchurch-Stouffville

-

--

21900 5

23000 5

-

Town of East Gwillimbury

-

-

18700 5

34400 5

-

Township of Georgina

-

-

13900 5

21200 5

-

City of Toronto

1440000 1

1540000 1

1600000 1

1640000 1

172000016

Peel Region

530000 1

730000 1

820000 1

870000 1

97000016

Town of Caledon

-

-

40000 4

46000 4

-

City of Brampton

-

-

280000 4

314000 4

-

City of Mississauga

-

-

500000 4

510000 4

-

Halton Region

190000 1

280000 1

340000 1

390000 1

47000016

Town of Halton Hills

-

-

-

106000 3

-

Town of Milton

-

-

-

127000 3

-

City of Oakville

-

-

-

114000 3

-

City of Burlington

-

-

-

43000 3

-

City of Hamilton

210000 1

230000 1

270000 1

300000 1

35000016

INNER RING TOTAL

2950000 1

3630000 1

4040000 1

4330000 1

482000016

Northumberland County

29000 1

32000 1

33000 1

33000 1

3900016

Town of Brighton

-

-

-

3470 16

-

Town of Cobourg

-

-

-

11080 16

-

Municipality of Port Hope

-

-

-

8770 16

-

Town of Trent Hills

-

-

-

3500 16

-

Township of Alnwick/Haldimand

-

-

-

1620 16

-

Township of Cramahe

-

-

-

2220 16

-

Township of Hamilton

-

-

-

2350 16

-

Peterborough County

16000 1

17000 1

-

18000 14

2400016

Township of Asphodel-Norwood

-

-

-

Not Available

-

Township of Cavan-Monaghan

-

-

-

Not Available

-

Township of Douro-Dummer

-

-

-

Not Available

-

Township of Galway-Cavendish and Harvey

-

-

-

Not Available

-

Township of Havelock-Belmont-Methuen

-

-

-

Not Available

-

Township of North Kawartha

-

-

-

Not Available

-

Township of Otonabee-South Monaghan

-

-

-

Not Available

-

Township of Smith-Ennismore-Lakefield

-

-

-

Not Available

-

City of Peterborough

37000 1

41000 1

-

42000 15

5800016

Kawartha Lakes

20000 1

23000 1

25000 1

27000 1

3200016

Simcoe County

85000 1

102000 1

-

132000 2

15200016

Town of Bradford West Gwillimbury

-

-

-

18000 2

-

Town of Collingwood

-

-

-

13500 2

-

Town of Innisfil

-

-

-

13100 2

-

Town of Midland

-

-

-

13800 2

-

Town of New Tecumseth

-

-

-

26500 2

-

Town of Penetanguishene

-

-

-

6000 2

-

Town of Wasaga Beach

-

-

-

3500 2

-

Township of Adjala-Tosorontio

-

-

-

1800 2

-

Township of Clearview

-

-

-

5100 2

-

Township of Essa

-

-

-

9000 2

-

Township of Oro-Medonte

-

-

-

6000 2

-

Township of Severn

-

-

-

4400 2

-

Township of Springwater

-

-

-

5600 2

-

Township of Ramara

-

-

-

2200 2

-

Township of Tay

-

-

-

1800 2

-

Township of Tiny

-

-

-

1700 2

-

City of Barrie

53000 1

77000 1

-

101000 2

12900016

City of Orillia

16000 1

17000 1

-

21000 2

2300016

Dufferin County

19000 1

22000 1

25000 1

27000 1

3200016

Town of Mono

-

-

-

2020 13

-

Town of Orangeville

-

-

-

14740 13

-

Town of Shelburne

-

-

-

3560 13

-

Township of Amaranth

-

-

-

810 13

-

Township of East Garafraxa

-

-

-

570 13

-

Township of East Luther-Grand Valley

-

-

-

1190 13

-

Township of Melancthon

-

-

-

380 13

-

Township of Mulmur

-

-

-

820 13

-

Unallocated, included in total

-

-

-

-

-

Wellington County

36000 1

41000 1

-

54000 6

6100016

Township of Centre Wellington

-

-

15590 11

17350 11

-

Township of Erin

-

-

4600 11

5460 11

-

Town of Guelph/Eramosa

-

-

5340 11

5760 11

-

Township of Mapleton

-

-

5740 11

6110 11

-

Township of Minto

-

-

3820 11

4560 11

-

Town of Puslinch

-

-

5240 11

5760 11

-

Township of Wellington North

-

-

8370 11

9020 11

-

City of Guelph

63000 1

76000 1

-

92000 12

10100016

Unallocated, included in total

-

-

-

12000 1

-

Waterloo Region

236000 1

282000 1

324000 1

366000 1

40400016

City of Waterloo

-

-

-

88000 10

-

City of Kitchener

-

-

-

130000 10

-

City of Cambridge

-

-

-

100000 10

-

Township of Woolwich

-

-

-

18800 10

-

Township of Wellesley

-

-

-

4100 10

-

Township of Wilmot

-

-

-

9700 10

-

Township of North Dumfries

-

-

-

8400 10

-

Brant County

16000 1

17000 1

-

19000 9

2600016

City of Brantford

39000 1

45000 1

-

53000 8

7900016

Haldimand County

17000 1

19000 1

19000 1

20000 1

2500016

Niagara Region

186000 1

201000 1

209000 1

218000 1

26500016

City of Niagara Falls

-

-

50820 7

53640 7

-

City of Port Colborne

-

-

8350 7

9070 7

-

City of St. Catharines

-

-

69690 7

71000 7

-

City of Thorold

-

-

10380 7

11330 7

-

City of Welland

-

-

24640 7

27080 7

-

Town of Fort Erie

-

-

15540 7

17060 7

-

Town of Grimsby

-

-

10390 7

11040 7

-

Town of Lincoln

-

-

13000 7

13860 7

-

Town of Niagara-on-the-Lake

-

-

13700 7

15100 7

-

Town of Pelham

-

-

5570 7

6230 7

-

Township of Wainfleet

-

-

1780 7

1910 7

-

Township of West Lincoln

-

-

5550 7

6230 7

-

OUTER RING TOTAL

8700001

10100001

11300001

12400001

145000016

GGH TOTAL

38100001

46400001

51700001

55600001

627000016
Sources:
1 Growth Plan for the Greater Golden Horseshoe, 2006 Office Consolidation, January 2012, Schedule 3: Distribution of Population and Employment for the Greater Golden Horseshoe 2001-2031
2 Growth Plan for the Greater Golden Horseshoe, 2006 Office Consolidation, January 2012, Schedule 7: Distribution of Population and Employment for the City of Barrie, City of Orillia, and County of Simcoe to 2031
3 Halton Official Plan (2009), ROPA 38, December 16, 2009
4 Peel Region Official Plan, Working Draft Office Consolidation February 2013
5 York Region Official Plan, 2010, Annotated Version Showing Policy Status, Office Consolidation January 14, 2013
6 Durham Regional Official Plan Amendment No. 128, Annotated Consolidation (as approved by the OMB on January 9, 2013 Board Order)
7 Region of Niagara Sustainable Community Policies: Places to Grow/2005 Provincial Policy Statement Conformity and Niagara 2031 Amendment, Amendment 2-2009 of the Official Plan for the Niagara Planning Area as approved on May 28, 2009 by Regional Council and amended through the addition of Policy 4.6.6
8 City of Brantford Official Plan, Consolidation September 2011
9 County of Brant Official Plan, September 7, 2010
10 Waterloo Region Official Plan, January 24, 2011
11 Wellington County Official Plan, February 24th, 2011
12 City of Guelph, Official Plan Amendment Number 39: Conformity with the Planning Framework of the Growth Plan for the Greater Golden Horseshoe, March 17, 2010
13 Letter sent from Minister of Energy and Infrastructure, Brad Duguid to County of Dufferin Warden, Allen Taylor, August 13, 2010
14 Peterborough County Official Plan February 28, 2013
15 City of Peterborough Official Plan, Office Consolidation December 31, 2009
16 Letter sent from Minister of Energy and Infrastructure, Brad Duguid to County of Northumberland Warden, Peter Celanty, August 13, 2010
16 Growth Plan for the Greater Golden Horseshoe, 2006 Office Consolidation, June 2013, Schedule 3: Distribution of Population and Employment for the Greater Golden Horseshoe to 2041
*Note: Waterloo Region uses a 2029 planning horizon for its lower-tier municipalities, instead of 2031.